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“Right now, the single most vulnerable Republican incumbent is John Duarte, in my view,” Wasserman said of the California races. Public safety and immigration will also likely factor into the campaign. Calvert has a history of voting against LGBTQ+ rights, as The Times has previously reported, but said during the 2022 campaign that his views had since evolved. That record will almost certainly come under fire in the Coachella Valley as he faces off against Rollins, a gay man who lives with his partner in Palm Springs.
LGBTQ+ culture wars surface in heated Riverside County congressional race
It's also because of the continued shift with college-educated white voters toward Democrats. In 2020, Trump won college-educated white men by 3 points in 2020, according to exit polls, but the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll showed Biden winning the group by more than 20 points. The Blue Wall states are home to significant shares of white, working-class voters, but Biden has retained strong support with unions. Democrats are also putting in significant efforts, especially in Wisconsin, to reach Black voters and be on college campuses. All three states have significant Black populations and multiple colleges and universities. Biden is trying to make up ground there with younger voters and Black voters, groups he's lagging with.
CA - 27: Rep. Mike Garcia versus George Whitesides
Elections for the Florida House of Representatives took place in 2014. The signature filing deadline for candidates wishing to run in this election was June 20, 2014. Florida rearranged its House districts during the redistricting process after the 2020 census. Click [show] on the header below to view a table showing all 120 districts in the leftmost column along with all legislators representing those districts at the time of the 2022 filing deadline. The "Filed in 2022 in ..." column lists the districts, in which incumbents filed to run. The "New district open?" column indicates whether the incumbent running was the only incumbent seeking re-election in that district.
Process to become a candidate
Democrats underperformed in both states in 2022, in part because their in-state political dominance helped Republicans channel voter frustration into anger toward Democrats, Wasserman explained. California “is, along with New York, one of the two most important paths to potential Democratic control of the House,” said Dave Wasserman, senior editor and elections analyst for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. The country came thisclose in 1876, and 2000 was within 5 electoral votes...
District 39
1st term incumbent Democratic representative Kristen Arrington has represented Florida House of Representatives 43rd District since November 2020. 2nd term incumbent Democratic representative Joy Goff-Marcil has represented Florida House of Representatives 30th District since November 2018. Incumbent Democrat Yvonne Hayes Hinson won her seat in 2020, running unopposed. While Hinson represented Florida's 20th House District, she won re-election in 2022 in Florida's 21st State House District with 60.2%, defeating Republican Hollye Merton.
District 71
2nd term incumbent Democratic representative Emily Slosberg has represented Florida House of Representatives 91st District since November 2018. 3rd term incumbent Democratic representative David Silvers has represented Florida House of Representatives 87th District since November 2016. 3rd term incumbent Democratic representative Matt Willhite has represented Florida House of Representatives 86th District since November 2016.Seth Densen and Katherine Waldron are seeking the Democratic nomination. 1st term incumbent Democratic representative Kelly Skidmore has represented Florida House of Representatives 81st District since November 2020. 1st term incumbent Democratic representative Michele Rayner has represented Florida House of Representatives 70th District since November 2020.
2nd term incumbent Republican representative Mike Caruso has represented Florida House of Representatives 89th District since November 2018.Lauren Levy is running as Democratic candidate in election. No party preference voters account for more than a fifth of the electorate. 3rd term incumbent Republican representative Rene Plasencia has represented Florida House of Representatives 50th District since November 2016.Tom Keen is running for election. 4th term incumbent Republican representative Colleen Burton has represented Florida House of Representatives 40th District since May 2014.Jennifer Canady is running for election.
While North Carolina was also close in 2020 — within 2 points — given its history of voting Republican, it begins the cycle in the Lean Republican category. Democrats feel the gubernatorial race in the state could help them, as Republicans nominated a highly controversial candidate, who could turn off swing voters. It's also unclear how third-party candidates could affect the map. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been pulling double digits in polling, and it's not totally clear which side he pulls most from. Polls have shown him pulling evenly, some have shown him pulling more from Trump, others more from Biden. The Biden campaign would prefer a one-on-one matchup with Trump and super PACs are cropping up on the left to attack Kennedy's record.
When an incumbent files to run for re-election in the same chamber but a new district, it leaves his or her original seat open. This may happen for a variety of reasons ranging from redistricting to a change in residences. This may result in instances where multiple incumbents face each other in contested primaries or general elections if the incumbent in the new district also seeks re-election. The following analysis covers all state legislative districts up for election in Florida in 2022.
3rd term incumbent Republican representative Lawrence McClure has represented Florida House of Representatives 58th District since 2017. 2nd term incumbent Republican representative Mike Beltran has represented Florida House of Representatives 57th District since November 2018. 2nd term incumbent Republican representative Melony Bell has represented Florida House of Representatives 56th District since November 2018.
In 2020, it was the closest it has been since 1996, decided by 7 points. But with other paths to 270 and how expensive Texas is to advertise and organize in, expect the core seven states to be the focus. To this point, the Biden campaign has spent almost nothing in ads on the state and the polling has, to this point, shown Trump well ahead. Latinos, Black voters and young voters all view the economy negatively. Majorities overall disapprove of Biden's handling of the economy and more voters say they think the economy was better under Trump. In addition to the Latino population increase in the Southwest, McDonald pointed to the uptick in Asian Americans, and a remigration of Black voters to Georgia as to why those states continue to trend toward Democrats.
The speaker presides over the House, appoints committee members and committee chairs, influences the placement of bills on the calendar, and rules on procedural motions. The speaker pro tempore presides if the speaker leaves the chair or if there is a vacancy. The speaker, along with the Senate president and governor of Florida, control most of the agenda of state business in Florida. Wasserman stressed that there were still open questions about the strength of Biden’s support among Latino voters. A scenario where Trump manages to make inroads with those voters would favor Duarte, Wasserman said. House candidates Democrat Adam Gray’s and Republican John Duarte’s stances on abortion, the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, inflation, other issues.
The Florida House and Senate disagree on changes to the state's child labor laws - WLRN
The Florida House and Senate disagree on changes to the state's child labor laws.
Posted: Thu, 11 Jan 2024 08:00:00 GMT [source]
2nd term incumbent Republican representative Juan Fernandez-Barquin has represented Florida House of Representatives 119th District since November 2018, but ran in the 118th District due to redistricting. Juan Carlos Porras won the Republican nomination and went on to defeat his Democratic opponent Gabriel Gonzalez in the general election. 2nd term incumbent Republican representative Anthony Rodriguez has represented Florida House of Representatives 118th District since November 2018. Rep. Juan Fernandez-Barquin, previously representing District 119, ran in District 118 due to redistricting.
To view data for a district, click on the appropriate bar below to expand it. The chamber's Republican majority increased from (with two vacancies) to 85-35. The House is headed by a speaker, elected by the members of the House to a two-year term.
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